Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 130.718365 149.097173 169.508670 193.923793 222.418595 254.724627 294.267888
2025-11-23 103.853411 127.490484 156.034085 193.291529 241.004504 300.546779 381.240957
2025-11-30 89.353172 115.494485 148.989334 195.551362 259.388870 344.990472 470.413540
2025-12-07 76.178318 102.427900 137.632557 189.039221 263.431593 369.122133 534.186366
2025-12-14 67.556761 93.958358 130.787324 186.921316 272.117361 399.565593 610.460769
2025-12-21 61.924251 88.787809 127.619920 189.174010 286.800792 440.061651 707.959531
2025-12-28 58.662539 86.557309 128.261598 196.890298 310.457064 497.323419 842.133896
2026-01-04 55.165170 83.508118 127.182762 201.530840 329.425480 549.198436 975.775286
2026-01-11 50.812219 78.638208 122.654495 199.835176 337.214450 582.568956 1080.971063
2026-01-18 48.236762 76.317859 121.918942 204.302587 356.124329 638.217024 1238.948064
2026-01-25 45.034375 72.645406 118.532436 203.659250 365.482793 677.080945 1369.822003
2026-02-01 42.614344 70.051814 116.693243 205.505326 379.607242 727.008239 1533.618861
2026-02-08 39.736364 66.674333 113.609381 205.574414 392.090667 779.342764 1723.577802
2026-02-15 36.994965 63.318043 110.292229 204.943743 403.442733 832.162429 1930.218402
2026-02-22 34.966943 61.032517 108.664789 207.361333 421.436791 902.708140 2199.294965
2026-03-01 31.989113 56.718833 102.780198 200.401208 418.030647 923.650598 2344.192091
2026-03-08 29.879495 53.843064 99.366263 198.138052 424.741160 969.781099 2571.033642
2026-03-15 28.488745 52.212480 98.220845 200.545253 442.552668 1046.629324 2909.152941
2026-03-22 27.808966 51.899294 99.668663 208.792760 475.588907 1169.256069 3426.162022
2026-03-29 26.846160 50.931958 99.666584 213.754213 501.337397 1277.910694 3935.595861
2026-04-05 25.345729 48.745183 96.893553 211.941164 509.500717 1339.260392 4304.898391
2026-04-12 24.527020 47.895701 96.896484 216.718144 535.808720 1458.938459 4928.116811
2026-04-19 23.325368 46.143083 94.763455 216.030167 547.193735 1536.319389 5420.897937